Jeremy Clarkson on Motorcycles

Here is his review of a Vespa.  Here are two of my favorite bits:

"That said, a bike is much cheaper to run than a car. In fact, it takes only half a litre of fuel to get from your house to the scene of your first fatal accident. Which means that the lifetime cost of running your new bike is just 50p."

"I also liked the idea of a Vespa because most bikes are Japanese. This means they are extremely reliable so you cannot avoid a fatal crash by simply breaking down. This is entirely possible on a Vespa because it is made in Italy."

Coleman Pulling Ahead

According to Rasmussen Reports Coleman has taken a four point lead.  The DFL made a massive mistake in nominating Franken.  Any boring liberal would have won this race in a walk.  Franken may still pull it out but his nomination was definitely a tactical error.  The minute he announced his candidacy the DFL should have tried to throttle the candidacy in its infancy.

Update: Here is some polling info on Texas.  McCain is clearly going to win Texas, but it also finds that 23% of Texans think Obama is a Muslim.  

Barkeley Running in 2014

For Governor of Alabama.  I love this part:

'"I plan on it in 2014," Barkley told CNN's Campbell Brown on Monday.

When asked if he was serious, the former Philadelphia 76er said, "I am, I can't screw up Alabama."

He added that his native state could only improve. "We are number 48 in everything and Arkansas and Mississippi aren't going anywhere," Barkley said."'

Move over Stagflation, Here Comes Stag-deflation

Nouriel Roubini, aka Dr. Doom, is predicting we are set for an extended period of Stag-Deflation, i.e. high unemployment matched with deflation as opposed to inflation which we saw in the 70s.

On a related note here is my co-blogger (on permanent hiatus?) Ilya endorsing deflation. 

Update: I hasten to add that I didn't see a damn thing in the 70s as I wasn't yet even a thought.

Fumes from the Fever Swamp

The newest bat-shit crazy rumor is that Obama is the illegitamite son of Malcom X. Anyhow, it would be badass would if Obama opened his inaugral speech with: "We didn't land on Plymouth Rock - Plymouth rock landed on us."

Bailouts for Everyone

The big three had been lobbying the government, and it appeared successfully, for a bailout ($25 billion in subsidized loans). But this is rich, GM wants $5 to $10 billion from the gummint to assist it in buying out Chrysler. Once it does this, it will axe most of the Chrysler workforce save those that manufacture Jeep products and their minivans and pocket the $11 billion cash Chrysler has on hand. I am not a fan of bailouts in general, and with respect to the auto industry there seems to be the least compelling case for a bailout.

If Chrysler or GM goes under, it would in fact hurt Michigan, and the autoworkers. But in the place of the corpse known as Chrysler or GM a "foreign" automaker such as Hyundai, Toyota, or Honda will simply build more plants in the South, increase shifts at existing plants, and churn out more cars which are better and affordable.

What also makes GM's claim to federal assistance for a merger less compelling is that Nissan appears willing and eager to acquire a stake in Chrysler. If one's concern is for the autoworkers, a Nissan merger would seem to be vastly preferable as there is significantly less product overlap between Nissan and Chrysler than between GM and Chrysler. Thus, Nissan would probably be less likely to cut as many workers as GM.

I find this type of thing noxious because it reeks of economic nationalism. That there is some support for such a bailout/merger seems grounded in the desire to keep an American manufacturer from being consumed by those awful "Feriners". However, with the auto industry this is especially stupid as where a company is headquartered has little relevance any more. A Toyota Corolla is every bit as domestic, or more so, than an F-150. It is designed here, the supplies manufacture here, and the car assembled here. So indeed, the Toyota Corolla is a "Japanese" car, but just as much as it is a product of Alabama or Texas or wherever else in the South they produce them.

Update: The $25 billion in loans to the big three have in fact already been approved. The $10 billion GM is requesting is in addition to the bailout they have already received. This is absurd. There is a reason the big three are in dire straits, they are run like a pension company with a side business in cars and their side business is piss poor.

Another One Bites the Dust

Ted Stevens convicted on corruption charges.

PeP Links

Oprah loves the Kindle.  

Greg Mankiw has an op-ed on the dearth of certainty amongst economists is going on and what will happen.

Signs that the housing market is starting to bottom out.

The plus side of a recession: Income Inequality diminishes significantly.  Not much solace though, as Len Burman points out "Only if you don't like rich people," says Len Burman of the Tax Policy Center. "It's not like their share decline brings improvements for the middle class or the rest of America."

The Treasury is about to give out another $125 billion to banks.

More Chrysler

Daimler says that its 19% stake in Chrysler is worthless.

More on Endorsements

The Strib is set to endorse Coleman.

More Chrysler

Chrysler is cutting a quarter of its salaried workforce. 

Michael Brown Has A Blog

Yes, that Michael Brown.  As in "Brownie, you're doing a heckuva job."  As in the Michael Brown who went to an unaccredited law school, was Joe Allbaugh's college roomate, whose only previous management experience was at the Internation Arabian Horse Association where he was canned and was somehow appointed as General Counsel and then Head of FEMA.  That Michael Brown. Here's the link. Brownie, Welcome to the Blogosphere!

Scrapple

Scrapple is the nastiest shit ever, but it is also delicious. I had some this morning.  It is one of my guilty pleasures. Here is the wikipedia page for scrapple. Here is a brief excerpt:

"Scrapple is typically made of hog offal, such as the head, heart, liver, and other scraps, which are boiled with any bones attached (often the entire head), to make a broth. Once cooked, bones and fat are discarded, the meat is reserved, and (dry) cornmeal is boiled in the broth to make a mush. The meat, finely minced, is returned, and seasonings, typically sage, thyme,savory, and others are added. The mush is cast into loaves and allowed to cool thoroughly until gelled. The proportions and seasoning are very much a matter of the region and the cook's taste."

 Go out and try some.  

Car Thoughts

I have a VW Rabbit and very much enjoy it.  However, there are two things about the car that drive me insane.  One, it has no MP3 input.  You can get one of those FM receiver things but they suck.  To get a dealer installed MP3 input would cost $500.  This is absurd to me.  The Rabbit/Golf is an economy car and its market is presumably younger folks who typically have an iPod or some other MP3 player.  In fact what’s the likelihood at this point that they have an iPod but no longer buy CDs.  That certainly describes me but I have a car that has a 6-cd changer.  Even now, in its third year, the MP3 input is optional.

The other thing that annoys me is that it is a hatchback but doesn’t have any hooks to tie down the back.  Yet again, your market is 20 somethings, most of whom are vagabonds making trips to ikea and target or pilfering their relatives for furniture.  Some sort of a tie down would give the car more crap hauling functionality.  You put in the iPod input and the tie down hooks and you are looking at maybe $50 in material costs and you have a more functional car, one that better serves its intended market.

Tax on Securities Transactions

I don't know why this hasn't occurred.  Presently there is a tax on securities transactions of .0033%.  Setting it at .5% would raise roughly $65 billion.  Such a tax shouldn't have a negative impact on US financial markets competitiveness as other major exchanges such as the UK and Hong Kong levy a similar fee.  Here is a CRS study on a Securities Transaction Tax.

Is Obama a Socialist?

So asks Scott Johnson at Powerline.  This shouldn't surprise me because the guys at Powerline do write some positively insane things and really do seem smitten with conspiracy theories. But, one way to determine whether Obama is a closet socialist is by looking at his proposed policies.  What do we find?  He wants to raise taxes!  Though, if we recall Milton Friedman's old saw, Spending=Taxes.  He wants to institute a pigovian tax on carbon emissions to correct for negative externalities, like that other well known communist Greg Mankiw, oh wait, he was Bush's CEA Chair.  He wants to expand the Earned Income Tax Credit, a program inspired by Milton Friedman's proposal of a negative income tax.  These are all center-left positions, not the onset of a new wave of socialism.  If you want to see socialism in action just look at what's happening with the current administration and the financial bailouts, as Brad DeLong put it: 

"The Bush administration, having entered office as social conservatives, leaves office as conservative socialists, proprietors of the most sudden large expansion of the state's role in the US economy since mobilisation for the second world war."

But one could also look to the policy advisors Obama has surrounded himself by. Jason Furman's selection as Economic Policy Director drew lots of flak because the left views him as an apologist for Wal-Mart.  Here is an online debate between Furman and Barbara Ehrenreich on Wal-Mart.  I hasten to add that Furman has proposed using the same vehicle for reforming the Health Care system as McCain, as chronicled here and elsewhere. Jeff Liebman is the co-author of the LMS Social Security Plan, the M and the S in the LMS plan are Maya McGuineas (former McCain economic advisor) and Andrew Samwick (former member of the Bush CEA).  One of the central elements of the LMS plan is partial privatization.  Very socialist indeed.  And of course there is Austan Goolsbee, of that strong communist foothold in the midwest, the University of Chicago.

Bachman=Batshit Crazy

I tend to agree with Michelle Bachmann, we really need to investigate some of these anti-American politicians. The Committee on Un-American Activities was a great success, if only marred by its limited nature. It sought only those who were commies, in a sense undermining its stated purpose. It was not the Committee on Commie-Activities, rather, Un-American activities. Anti-American activities encompasses people of so many different walks of life and persuasions, not just commies. Go Bachman, Go! Fight the good fight!

Bullshit aside, it has long been the official view of this blog that Bachmann is absurd, though I do think she is a fox. See this brilliant post by my estranged co-blogger, Anti.

Update: Here is Powerline trying to rationalize Bachmann's statements. And yet again.

Chrysler Preparing to Die

Chrysler (owned by the private equity firm Cerberus) is discussing mergers with GM and Nissan-Renault.  The GM merger doesn't make any sense to me, but is apparently the most likely merger scenario.  GM and Chrysler overlap significantly, almost completely.  GM has Hummer, Chrysler has Jeep.  GM's product lineup mostly consists of big crappy cars and trucks, same goes for Chrysler.  Neither company has any credible small cars in the market, both have horrible reputations for vehicle reliability.  At least in a Nissan-Renault merger there would be some areas where it would be mutually beneficial.  Nissan doesn't really have all that much in the way of truck offerings nor a succesfful minivan.  Two areas where Chrysler has actually done well with the Dodge Ram, Chrysler Towne and Country, and the Dodge Caravan. Nissan can provide a platform to Chrysler for the development of a credible economy car (no, the Dodge Caliber does not qualify).  It seems with the GM/Chrysler merger the basic idea is to more or less kill Chrysler and hope that GM is able to capture their old customers.

Read This

It's a goodbye letter from a hedge fund manager closing up shop.  It's hilarious.  Here's an excerpt:

"I will no longer manage money for other people or institutions. I have enough of my own wealth to manage. Some people, who think they have arrived at a reasonable estimate of my net worth, might be surprised that I would call it quits with such a small war chest. That is fine; I am content with my rewards. Moreover, I will let others try to amass nine, ten or eleven figure net worths. Meanwhile, their lives suck. Appointments back to back, booked solid for the next three months, they lookforward to their two week vacation in January during which they will likely be glued to their Blackberries or other such devices. What is the point? They will all be forgotten in fifty years anyway. Steve Balmer, Steven Cohen, and Larry Ellison will all be forgotten. I do not understand the legacy thing. Nearly everyone will be forgotten. Give up on leaving your mark. Throw the Blackberry away and enjoy life."

PeP Endorsement

As the only active contributor, I feel entitled to make the blog's endorsement.  The PeP blog is endorsing Obama, big surprise there.  

While a conservative, I simply cannot imagine McCain as President.  Or rather, I can, and this compels me to vote for Obama.  His impetuous nature simply renders him unfit to lead our nation in foreign affairs.  His unrivaled enthusiasm for war (read: singing Bomb, Bomb, Bomb Iran) is positively frightening.  His lack of knowledge on economic or other domestic matters is simply pathetic for a presidential candidate (such as the inability to credibly defend his health care plan) but also shows an alarming lack of intellectual engagement or curiosity. Such attributes have been in constant display by the current occupant of the Oval Office and to the nation's detriment.

I am not necessarily excited by the prospect of an Obama presidency combined with a Democratic majority in both chambers of Congress.  However, he clearly has the character and intellect to be President.  He will raise taxes, but ultimately they must be raised.  He will spend a lot on infrastructure, but such investments are overdue, and at least with Obama there is a chance that such investments will also include mass transit, and heaven forfend, there might be a more rational process in how these investments are made.  His committment to enact a cap and trade is less than optimal, but his preference for auctioning off permits is vastly superior to McCain's proposal of allocating permits.  And most importantly, Obama's signature foreign policy proposal is to wind down an ill-conceived war instead of doubling down on the existing one and launching a new one.

But further, as a Republican, I believe a loss is deserved on our side for the horrible mismanagement of the nation's affairs from Iraq to Katrina, the scaling back of our civil liberties, the rampant cronyism, politicization of the federal agencies, and deterioration of the nation's fiscal position.  The conservative movement, and the Republican party to which it has become so intertwined as to the point of oneness, has become intellectually and morally bankrupt.  A relevant conservative movement will need to develop ideas beyond the current platform of tax cuts, the politics of denial (climate change, income inequality, and the state of our health care system), gay bashing and conspiracy theories.  The conservative movement has failed to embrace this reality, hopefully a loss will begin a process of reevaluation.